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Contacts:Mr. Gao

Mobile:13957909042

Add:Yiwu Beiyuan Liu San Cun Liu Qing Road B District 35 building 4 floor

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  November import and export continued "double down" trend is optimistic

   8, the General Administration of Customs released data show that in November China's import and export is still falling. Import and export in the first 11 months of the cumulative decline of 7.8%. At this point, China's exports have declined for five consecutive months, and the first 11 months, in addition to February and June, the remaining nine months are negative growth. Imports have been 13 consecutive months of negative growth.

   Trade data in November showed a low export, import recovery, trade surplus high shrinkage characteristics. November exports remain low growth, while imports rose 10 percentage points, on the one hand is the low base and price effects, on the other hand, we speculate that the overall trade data may exist monthly technical smoothing.

   The high and low impact on the balance of exchange rate and the expected stability of capital flows. October into the basket key in, PMI, foreign exchange reserves and other data are more ideal, so there is a 10 month Gao Shuncha, low import, November surplus decreased, imports picked up the situation; and than its neighbours, in October and November are significant monthly differences, and trend of close.

   In the future, exports and imports will maintain a negative growth in depth, the trade surplus will be narrowed. Export, customs exports leading index for five months fell to 14 year lows (November 0.8 to 32), mining PMI export orders for nearly two months to accelerate the decline in October - 0.5 to 47.4,11 month of - 1 to 46.4; imports, mainly is the embodiment of China's economic transformation, the old import demand subsided. In addition, the decline in the base currency to drop quasi hedge become a choice.


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